RBI Raises Repo Rate to 5.5% as Inflation Risks Build; FY27 Growth Forecast Raised

By Manikanta Srireddy

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The Reserve Bank of India raised its key repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.5% on October 7, 2026, marking its first increase in nearly four years.

The move comes as policymakers respond to renewed inflation pressure linked to higher crude oil prices, weaker monsoon conditions and broader global uncertainty. The RBI also shifted its policy stance toward calibrated tightening, signalling that future action will depend on incoming inflation and growth data.

Growth outlook remains strong

Despite the rate increase, the central bank raised its growth forecast for FY27 to 7.1%, reflecting continued strength in domestic demand and credit growth.

The rate hike could gradually raise borrowing costs for some floating-rate home, vehicle and business loans, depending on how quickly banks transmit the policy change.

This report is based on October 7 updates from Reuters and Indian Express reporting on the RBI monetary policy decision.

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